The Dissmarket Newsletter delivers the sharpest insights on prediction markets, public opinion, and the gaps between what people think and what the money says.
Two platforms. Two perspectives. One mission: better forecasting.
Long-form essays on information systems, forecasting methodology, and the structural cracks in how we measure what the world thinks. For readers who want to understand why the numbers move.
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Snappy, structured breakdowns of the biggest opinion-market divergences each week. Data tables, key takeaways, and clear next steps. For readers who want to know what's happening now.
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Weekly content including: