Dissmarket is a platform built on collective intelligence. The quality of our forecasts, the integrity of our leaderboards, and the value of our community depend on every participant acting in good faith. These guidelines set the expectations for how we engage with each other and with the platform.
By using Dissmarket, you agree to abide by these guidelines. Violations may result in warnings, temporary suspensions, or permanent account termination, depending on severity.
Be genuine. Your predictions should reflect your honest assessment of the likelihood of an outcome. Dissmarket's value depends on the authenticity of the forecasts contributed by its community. Deliberately submitting predictions you do not believe in — for the purpose of manipulation, trolling, or gaming the system — undermines the platform for everyone.
No coordination to manipulate outcomes. Do not coordinate with other users to collectively shift the crowd consensus in a direction you know to be misleading. Organised manipulation of the crowd signal is a serious violation and will result in permanent removal from the platform.
One account per person. Each individual may maintain only one Dissmarket account. Creating multiple accounts to game the leaderboard, artificially inflate your track record, or manipulate crowd signals is prohibited. We employ technical measures to detect multi-accounting and will remove all associated accounts upon detection.
Propose markets in good faith. When proposing new markets, ensure that your question is genuinely verifiable, clearly worded, and of legitimate public interest. Do not propose markets designed to harass, defame, or target specific private individuals. Markets about public figures in their public capacity are acceptable; markets about anyone's private life, health, or personal relationships are not.
Engage constructively in discussions. Dissmarket provides discussion spaces for each market where users can share analysis, debate probabilities, and exchange evidence. These discussions should be substantive, evidence-based, and respectful. Disagree with ideas, not with people.
Cite your sources. When sharing information that influences predictions — news reports, data releases, expert analysis — provide links or references so others can verify your claims. Unsourced rumours presented as fact erode the quality of our collective discourse.
No harassment or abuse. Dissmarket has zero tolerance for personal attacks, threats, intimidation, doxxing, or any form of harassment directed at other users. This applies to all interactions on the platform, including market discussions, comments, and direct communications.
No hate speech or discrimination. Content that promotes hatred, violence, or discrimination based on race, ethnicity, gender, sexual orientation, religion, disability, or any other protected characteristic is prohibited. This includes slurs, coded language, and dogwhistle rhetoric.
No spam or self-promotion. Do not use Dissmarket discussions or market proposals as a vehicle for advertising, spam, or unrelated self-promotion. Sharing your own relevant analysis or writing is acceptable; repeatedly posting promotional content is not.
Respect privacy. Do not share other users' personal information without their consent. Do not post private communications, personal addresses, phone numbers, or other identifying information about any individual — whether they are a Dissmarket user or not.